21.7.06

Another Political Ideas, By A Jew From Canada

A different point of view on what is happening in Lebanon, from somebody who has experienced the political israeli environment from the inside; he was an MP (Member of Parliament) between 1965 and 1981; Uri Avnery .

By the way I was yesterday in a meeting to prepare for the next Saturday demonstration in Toronto, some Toronto Jewish activists (their jobs are ranging from workers to professors) were there besides us Arabs, to say much more than some of us: they don't recognize the state of israel and that is a state of apartheid (racist) and they shared the condemnation of the israeli barbaric attacks (interesting if compared to other positions in this matter)... Women Jewish activists in the "Jewish Women's Committee to End the Occupation" are protesting every Friday in front of he israeli consulate in Toronto...for the last six years!
The Real AimBy: Uri Avnery07/15/06 "Information Clearing House" -- --
THE REAL aim is to change the regime in Lebanon and to install a puppet government.
That was the aim of Ariel Sharon's invasion of Lebanon in 1982. It failed. But Sharon and his pupils in the military and political leadership have never really given up on it.
As in 1982, the present operation, too, was planned and is being carried out in full coordination with the US.
As then, there is no doubt that it is coordinated with a part of the Lebanese elite.
That's the main thing. Everything else is noise and propaganda.
ON THE eve of the 1982 invasion, Secretary of State Alexander Haig told Ariel Sharon that, before starting it, it was necessary to have a "clear provocation", which would be accepted by the world.
The provocation indeed took place - exactly at the appropriate time - when Abu-Nidal's terror gang tried to assassinate the Israeli ambassador in London. This had no connection with Lebanon, and even less with the PLO (the enemy of Abu-Nidal), but it served its purpose.
This time, the necessary provocation >has been provided by the capture of the two Israeli soldiers by Hizbullah. Everyone knows that they cannot be freed except through an exchange of prisoners. But the huge military campaign that has been ready to go for months was sold to the Israeli and international public as a rescue operation.
(Strangely enough, the very same thing happened two weeks earlier in the Gaza Strip. Hamas and its partners captured a soldier, which provided the excuse for a massive operation that had been prepared for a long time and whose aim is to destroy the Palestinian government.)
THE DECLARED aim of the Lebanon operation is to push Hizbullah away from the border, so as to make it impossible for them to capture more soldiers and to launch rockets at Israeli towns. The invasion of the Gaza strip is also officially aimed at getting Ashkelon and Sderot out of the range of the Qassams.
That resembles the 1982 "Operation Peace for Gallilee". Then, the public and the Knesset were told that the aim of the war was to "push the Katyushas 40 km away from the border".
That was a deliberate lie. For 11 months before the war, not a single Katyusha rocket (nor a single shot) had been fired over the border. From the beginning, the aim of the operation was to reach Beirut and install a Quisling dictator. As I have recounted more than once, Sharon himself told me so nine months before the war, and I duly published it at the time, with his consent (but unattributed).Of course, the present operation also has several secondary aims, which do not include the freeing of the prisoners. Everybody understands that that cannot be achieved by military means. But it is probably possible to destroy some of the thousands of missiles that Hizbullah has accumulated over the years. For this end, the army chiefs are ready to endanger the >inhabitants of the Israeli towns that are exposed to the rockets. They believe that that is worthwhile, like an exchange of chess figures.
Another secondary aim is to rehabilitate the "deterrent power" of the army. That is a codeword for the restoration of the army's injured pride that has suffered a severe blow from the daring military actions of Hamas in the south and Hizbullah in the north.
OFFICIALLY, THE Israeli government demands that the Government of Lebanon disarm Hizbullah and remove it from the border region.That is clearly impossible under the present Lebanese regime, a delicate fabric of ethno-religious communities. The slightest shock can bring the whole structure crashing down and throw the state into total anarchy - especially after the Americans succeeded in driving out the Syrian army, the only element that has for years provided some stability.
The idea of installing a Quisling in Lebanon is nothing new. In 1955, David Ben-Gurion proposed taking a "Christian officer" and installing him as dictator. Moshe Sharet showed that this idea was based on complete ignorance of Lebanese affairs and torpedoed it. But 27 years later, Ariel Sharon tried to put it into effect nevertheless. Bashir Gemayel was indeed installed as president, only to be murdered soon afterwards. His brother, Amin, succeeded him and signed a peace agreement with Israel, but was driven out of office. (The same brother is now publicly supporting the Israeli operation.)
The calculation now is that if the Israeli Air Force rains heavy enough blows on the Lebanese population - paralysing the sea- and airports, destroying the infrastructure, bombarding residential neighborhoods, cutting the Beirut-Damascus highroad etc. - the public will get furious with Hizbullah and pressure the Lebanese government into fulfilling Israel's demands. Since the present government cannot even dream of doing so, a dictatorship will be set up with Israel's support.
That is the military logic. I have my doubts. It can be assumed that most Lebanese will react as any other people on earth would: with fury and hatred towards the invader. That happened in 1982, when the Shiites in the south of Lebanon, until then as docile as a doormat, stood up against the Israeli occupiers and created the Hizbullah, which has become the strongest force in the country. If the Lebanese elite now becomes tainted as collaborators with Israel, it will be swept off the map. (By the way, have the Qassams and Katyushas caused the Israeli population to exert pressure on our government to give up? Quite the contrary.)
The American policy is full of contradictions. President Bush wants "regime change" in the Middle East, but the present Lebanese regime has only recently been set up by under American pressure. In the meantime, Bush has succeeded only in breaking up Iraq and causing a civil war (as foretold here). He may get the same in Lebanon, if he does not stop the Israeli army in time. Moreover, a devastating blow against Hizbullah may arouse fury not only in Iran, but also among the Shiites in Iraq, on whose support all of Bush's plans for a pro-American regime are built.
So what's the answer? Not by accident, Hizbullah has carried out its soldier-snatching raid at a time when the Palestinians are crying out for succor. The Palestinian cause is popular all over the Arab word. By showing that they are a friend in need, when all other Arabs are failing dismally, Hizbullah hopes to increase its popularity. If an Israeli-Palestinian agreement had been achieved by now, Hizbullah would be no more than a local Lebanese phenomenon, irrelevant to our situation. LESS THAN three months after its formation, the Olmert-Peretz government has succeeded in plunging Israel into a two-front war, whose aims are unrealistic and whose results cannot be foreseen.If Olmert hopes to be seen as Mister Macho-Macho, a Sharon # 2, he will be disappointed. The same goes for the desperate attempts of Peretz to be taken seriously as an imposing Mister Security. Everybody understands that this campaign - both in Gaza and in Lebanon - has been planned by the army and dictated by the army. The man who makes the decisions in Israel now is Dan Halutz. It is no accident that the job in Lebanon has been turned over to the Air Force.
The public is not enthusiastic about the war. It is resigned to it, in stoic fatalism, because it is being told that there is no alternative. And indeed, who can be against it? Who does not want to liberate the "kidnapped soldiers"? Who does not want to remove the Katyushas and rehabilitate deterrence? No politician dares to criticize the operation (except the Arab MKs, who are ignored by the Jewish public). In the media, the generals reign supreme, and not only those in uniform. There is almost no former general who is not being invited by the media to comment, explain and justify, all speaking in one voice.(As an illustration: Israel's most popular TV channel invited me to an interview about the war, after hearing that I had taken part in an anti-war demonstration. I was quite surprised. But not for long - an hour before the broadcast, an apologetic talk-show host called and said that there had been a terrible mistake - they really meant to invite Professor Shlomo Avineri, a former Director General of the Foreign Office who can be counted on to justify any act of the government, whatever it may be, in lofty academic language.)"Inter arma silent Musae" - when the weapons speak, the muses fall silent. Or, rather: when the guns roar, the brain ceases to function.AND JUST a small thought: when the State of Israel was founded in the middle of a cruel war, a poster was plastered on the walls: "All the country - a front! All the people - an army!"58 Years have passed, and the same slogan is still as valid as it was then. What does that say about generations of statesmen and generals?Uri Avnery is an Israeli author and activist. He is the head of the Israeli peace movement, "Gush Shalom".

5 Comments:

At Friday, July 21, 2006 2:45:00 PM, Blogger imad said...

http://imad82.blogspot.com
get in.

 
At Friday, July 21, 2006 3:30:00 PM, Blogger SC said...

Jews who support the palestinian arabs like those of gush shalom are probably about the size of shi'ite lebanese who don't support hizballah. I'm not joking. I know I've been very aggressive in this blog but trust me on this when I say Jews that attack Israel and support the muslims are a very small minority.

But there were Jews who supported the nazis in WW2. Every group of people has its traitors and informers. The Jews just seem to have a little more than most who hate their own people.

Personally, the idea of Israel installing a puppet gov't is ridiculous. The demographics of Lebanon will not allow it. The country is over 50% shi'ite and growing who will never accept it. The "puppet" govt would likely be Christian b/c the Maronites are far more supportive of Israel than the rest. It wouldn't work.

 
At Friday, July 21, 2006 4:53:00 PM, Blogger imad said...

3an shou 3am bti7ki?
our present government is a "puppet" one who is led by syria.

you are pretty passemistic to think that lebanon is over 50% shi'its. if it's true, how did we manage to kick of syria from lebanon a year ago?

 
At Friday, July 21, 2006 6:00:00 PM, Blogger Ronen said...

Response from an Israeli dude:

These jews you are talking about, including Uri Avneri are well known and well hated in Israel. As my friend said - there where even jews who helped the Nazis in WW2 (not that I am comparing) so don't it doesn't come to no one in Israel as a surprise.

There are an unmeaningfull minority and considered in Israel as traitors. They will not stop to admonish until the last jew will leave Israel dead or alive. The most infamous is Noam Homski who actually supports the suicide bombers of hammas, Hizbullah and supports of course the Iranian right to have nuclear weapon (and to test it on Israel as their president promises almost every week). You can listen to him and think he is representing someone but himself but you'd be wrong. If this Noam Homski will ever try to come back to Israel one of the things below will happen within a couple of hours:
1. He'll get a bullet in his head and no one will be there to condamn it.
2. He'll be arrested and brougt to justice for treason.

 
At Saturday, July 22, 2006 12:19:00 AM, Blogger n1x said...

"Jews who support the palestinian arabs like those of gush shalom are probably about the size of shi'ite lebanese who don't support hizballah. I'm not joking. I know I've been very aggressive in this blog but trust me on this when I say Jews that attack Israel and support the muslims are a very small minority.

But there were Jews who supported the nazis in WW2. Every group of people has its traitors and informers. The Jews just seem to have a little more than most who hate their own people.

Personally, the idea of Israel installing a puppet gov't is ridiculous. The demographics of Lebanon will not allow it. The country is over 50% shi'ite and growing who will never accept it. The "puppet" govt would likely be Christian b/c the Maronites are far more supportive of Israel than the rest. It wouldn't work."

Of course, why do you think there are arabs who live freely in Israel? Many of them are informants who have already outed or affiliated with some sort of Israeli protection by the government for various reasons. It always swings both ways my friend, it's just that the ignorant will always go one way without allowing the pendulum to swing back the other, and even when it does they will turn their heads as if it's not happening anyway.

 

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